H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Date ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has strengthened decently because Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has actually become less specific. Tammy was initially anticipated to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system guidance is now suggesting that the storm might wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and very effective typhoon that triggered enormous destruction and significant loss of life. It is the costliest typhoon to ever strike the United States, going beyond the record formerly held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Typhoon Katrina was due to flooding brought on by engineering flaws in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, along with big locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane warnings have actually now been provided for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests hurricane conditions are expected in a few of these locations. You can see the current warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread out across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some areas.
Rain overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally as much as 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were taking place over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a cyclone that could bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the typhoon center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually triggered typhoon cautions for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island nations and areas in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a danger to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum continual winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 cyclone lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is only the third cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to hurricane specialist Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone experts formerly alerted cyclones might form in uncommon locations later in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most serious dangers and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy